Stick or Twist: Where to go in Dynasty?
As we reach the half way point in the fantasy season, we are quickly arriving at the point of no return for many teams. Everyone knows the teams they can quit on. If your 1-7 or 0-8 then you probably want to shut it down for the year – in truth you’ve probably given up checking any redraft teams with that sort of record. After week this week if you’ve only got two wins then it’s probably time to abandon all hope.
In Dynasty though this is a critical time for owners, a time to start laying the ground work for next year, to throw everything in to save the season or add that final piece to a championship roster.
How to decide? The answer is easier than you’d think and in truth you probably already know. You know if your 3-5 team has been unlucky and has a chance of running the table. If you are on the fence, then look at your remaining schedule and see if you’ve got a run against the league’s bottom feeders or are hitting all the top teams in the 2nd half. It’s best not to kid yourself though, there are long term opportunities to be had for owners prepared to face harsh reality.
What are your choices? Firstly, don’t stand still – this can be a chance to trade veteran assets to contenders. Greg Olsen has little dynasty value long term but if one of the top tight ends go down in the next few weeks you might be able to flip him for a pick. Draft picks are probably at their lowest point in value right now so if you want to build future capital now is the time. Secondly, make a serious assessment of how far your team is from contending – if you are miles off it’s probably time to trade in veterans – whilst draft picks value is low, veterans will never be higher.
It’s also worth, if you haven’t already, starting to look at the top rookies for next years draft and assessing positions that will be addressable next May and June.
Right now, running back and wide receiver look stacked. You may be spoilt for choice at running back with D’Andre Swift of Georgia, Travis Etienne of Clemson and Jonathan Taylor of Wisconsin all looking likely to be top tier NFL backs.
Wide receiver looks deeper than it has in some time as well, Alabama duo Jerry Jeudy and Henry Ruggs look like high picks and there is a veritable buffet of other options between Colorado’s Laviska Shenault, Clemson’s Tee Higgins, CeeDee Lamb of Oklahoma and Oklahoma State stand-out Tylan Wallace. In summary if you think this season is lost then do what you can to acquire 2020 1sts.
Quarterback is murkier for fantasy than it may be for NFL teams. Joe Burrow, Tua Tagovailoa and Justin Herbert all look set to go early in the NFL draft but it’s unclear if any will generate much fantasy buzz. Tight-end won’t garner anything like the buzz it did last year so if you have a weakness there it might be time to see if you can buy low from a team who is out of contention.
Now is also a time to start to map out your schedule. If you are a contender, it’s time to look at who your key players face throughout the fantasy play-offs. It may even be decision time if you want to trade assets who may have long term value but have particularly difficult schedules between week 14 and 16.
On top of all that it’s never time to totally give up on your fantasy team. Don’t forget the joy there is to be had in stopping the success of some of your rivals. Misery, after all, loves company.
With just a few regular season fantasy weeks left now is the time to decide, even in defeat the next month or so could lay the groundwork for significant improvement in years to come.